Monday, December 16, 2024

Trump’s economic team may get easy Senate rides. That could push clarity on policy into 2025.

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Some of President-elect Donald Trump’s cabinet picks are facing hurdle after hurdle on the road to confirmation but not those on his economic team (at least so far).

One early example is Scott Bessent, Trump’s pick for the Treasury Department, who began to make his rounds to Senate offices this past week to almost no fanfare.

“Scott Bessent and I had an excellent discussion today about reigniting America’s economy,” posted Sen. John Barrasso, the Wyoming Republican and the No. 2 Senate leader, after his sit-down.

Scott Bessent, President-elect Donald Trump’s choice to be Treasury secretary, arrives for a meeting with Sen. John Barrasso of Wyoming on Capitol Hill on Dec. 4. (Andrew Harnik/Getty Images) · Andrew Harnik via Getty Images

Another economic pick, Paul Atkins, is already showing signs of getting Democratic support to chair the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

“Atkins could very well be a good SEC head,” said Democratic New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand in a Yahoo Finance appearance.

The contrast with some of Trump’s other picks couldn’t be more stark.

Pete Hegseth, Trump’s pick for the Defense Department, has faced (and denied) a series of damning allegations and was mobbed by reporters outside his meetings this week.

Hegseth’s goal at the moment — very much unlike Bessent and Atkins and others — is to simply hold together Republican support for his besieged nomination. Democratic votes appear to be out of the question.

WASHINGTON, DC - NOVEMBER 21: President-elect Donald Trump's nominee to be Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth speaks to reporters as he leaves the Russell Senate Office Building on November 21, 2024 in Washington, DC. Hegseth was on Capitol Hill meeting with Senators to discuss his nomination and qualifications. (Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee to be Secretary of Defense, speaks to a crush of reporters in between Capitol Hill meeting with Senators to discuss his nomination. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images) · Kevin Dietsch via Getty Images

But just because things are going according to script for Trump’s economic advisers doesn’t mean the incoming team is unified.

In fact, a drama-free 2024 could simply delay clarity for Wall Street and markets on some key economic debates set to define the early stages of Trumponomics 2.0.

The key (perhaps delayed) question will be how aggressive Trump will actually be toward China.

Many of Trump’s choices appear set to bring hard-line perspectives on the world’s second-largest economy.

“As I kind of peel back the areas,” said Ed Mills, a managing director at Raymond James, in a recent episode of Yahoo Finance’s “Capitol Gains’ podcast, “you have a lot of folks who are very hawkish on China.”

That includes not just economic figures but also some of Trump’s national security picks, with Mills also mentioning another pick that appears to be on cruise control in the Senate: Marco Rubio for Secretary of State.

Bessent is expected to be a somewhat moderating voice on tariffs and has expressed a desire for duties to be implemented in a targeted manner.

But he has also said that a main target for him is China.

“The U.S. opened its markets to the world, but China’s resulting economic growth has only cemented the hold of a despotic regime,” Bessent wrote in a recent Fox op-ed. “Tariffs are a means to finally stand up for Americans.”

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