Monday, December 23, 2024

B.C. deluge shows why cities struggle to keep up with extreme rain

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NORTH VANCOUVER, B.C. — Heavy rain isn’t unusual for the community of Deep Cove in North Vancouver, but when Ashifa Saferali saw an e-bike floating down the middle of the street she knew this storm was something different.

Saferali is the owner of Honey Doughnuts and Goodies, a fixture in the community where she has lived and worked for almost three decades.

She’s been through flash floods in the area before, but nothing like the torrent on Oct. 19, the day of B.C.’s provincial election.

“There is a creek up the road from us and I don’t know if that creek was backed up with leaves or debris, but it was coming down really fast, and within an hour, the flow of the water was just gushing down the hill and going straight down,” said Saferali, “It was pretty crazy.”

By the time it was over, 350 millimetres of rain had fallen in North Vancouver, turning streets into rivers that plowed through waterfront homes, piling up boulders and gravel, and triggering a local state of emergency. The district told residents in six homes along the waterfront that they needed to evacuate.

The deluge is an example of how municipal infrastructure is struggling to keep up with demands of a fast-changing climate, as the frequency of extreme events escalates, and their severity worsens.

Engineers who once looked back at history to plan safeguards instead must look into the future, said Shahria Alam, a professor of civil engineering at the University of British Columbia Okanagan campus.

He gave the example of municipal engineers designing a stormwater drainage system, who might look at rainfall stretching back 50 years.

But weather patterns are changing fast.

“Which means that the system that you have designed will not be able to accommodate such huge additional water, and then, of course, your system will fail and disaster takes place,” said Alam.

“Unfortunately, these kinds of incidents will keep happening because of climate change.”

Some communities are aware of the challenges and preparing for it.

The City of Vancouver says in its climate change adaptation strategy that by the 2050s, average fall rainfall is expected to increase by 12 per cent.

But more worrying from an infrastructure perspective is the increasing prevalence and severity of “extreme rainfall events.” It says rainfall so severe it would have occurred only once every 20 years, from 1981-2010, will occur twice as often by the 2050s.

The average amount falling in a single day during such an event will increase 20 per cent to 86 millimetres, it says.

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