Friday, November 22, 2024

Booms and Busts: Browns, Bucs and Dolphins go from potential fantasy football afterthoughts to bringers of hope

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The Cleveland Browns have gone from a fantasy football afterthought to back on the map with Jameis Winston at QB. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Getty Images)

If you like scoring, if you like drama, if you like lead changes, the early window from Week 8 was your kinda jam.

Seven of the eight games sailed over their posted totals. A bunch of matchups came down to the final drive or even the final play. Fantasy points all over the place. The NFL as it oughta be.

This is the type of slate where this column could be a bottomless cup. Alas, there’s a targeted space we need to fit. Let’s start the analysis by looking at three offenses — Cleveland, Miami and Tampa Bay — giving us a fresh reveal this week, a first look at a new or refurbished setup.

Jameis Winston delivered a 29-24 upset win over Baltimore on Sunday, but he did something even more important for Cleveland: he gave the city hope. The Browns were obviously shipwrecked with Deshaun Watson’s lousy play for seven weeks, but Winston jump-started the offense in his first start and engineered the stunning result. Winston threw for 334 yards and three touchdowns, aiming almost all of his passes to four fantasy-relevant players: waiver dynamo Cedric Tillman (7-99-2), tight end overlord David Njoku (5-61-1) and receivers Elijah Moore (8-85-0, 12 targets) and Jerry Jeudy (5-79-0).

To be fair, there were negative plays, too. Winston lost a fumble and he threw at least two interceptions that the Baltimore defense kindly dropped. He’s always going to have some trick-or-treat to his game. This performance also came against a Ravens pass defense that’s been horrible all year. But after watching Watson’s struggles for the first seven games, we needed something like this to cleanse our palates. The Browns passing game is alive again. In a year where fantasy wide receivers have been dropping like flies, Cleveland’s offense has relevant pieces we can consider as adds and possible starters.

Miami’s first game with Tua Tagovailoa back was a mixed bag. The Dolphins lost to the Cardinals, 28-27, and Tagovailoa was limited to 6.2 yards per attempt. The best news for Tua is that he took just one sack and didn’t withstand a lot of punishment. And fantasy managers were thrilled to see buoyancy back in the Miami offense, because the Dolphins skill players did basically nothing when Tagovailoa wasn’t available.

De’Von Achane had the best of it for Miami, 147 yards and a touchdown on 16 touches. Raheem Mostert wasn’t efficient (nine carries, 19 yards) but he punched in a couple of short touchdown runs. Tyreek Hill (6-72-0) and Jaylen Waddle (4-45-0) go down as slight disappointments for Week 8, though things at least are trending upward. Miami could find itself in shootouts the next two weeks, on the road against the Bills and Rams. Tua’s return wasn’t a smash, but this offense is going to be fun again very soon.

The Buccaneers fell to the Falcons, 31-26, as Kirk Cousins torched Tampa Bay again — four touchdown passes. But Baker Mayfield went down as the gallant gunslinger. He threw for 330 yards and three touchdowns — against two picks — and did his best despite a receiver room that’s missing superstars Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.

The Mayfield plan without his star receivers was to focus on the non-wideouts. Cade Otton was a star on National Tight End Day, rocking a 9-81-2 line on 10 targets. He’s the dominant target here while Evans rehabs. Mayfield also steered 13 targets to the backfield duo of Bucky Irving (7-40-0) and Rachaad White (5-38-1). Meanwhile, every plausible Tampa Bay waiver-wire add fell flat — nobody from the trio of Jalen McMillan, Trey Palmer and Sterling Shepard made it past 35 yards.

At least the Tampa Bay scheme kept the boot on the accelerator. The Buccaneers had 50 pass attempts versus 22 runs — partly by design, partly by game script — and Tampa Bay might be chasing the game in November, with the Chiefs and 49ers waiting on the schedule. The trio of White, Irving and Otton are all slotted for success, and Mayfield still is fantasy-viable even if his wide receiver room remains a work in progress.

I don’t know who made up this silly National Tight End Day holiday, but the players seemed to embrace the spotlight. Kyle Pitts scored twice, a nifty duel with Otton on the other side. Trey McBride romped for 9-124-0 at Miami. Tucker Kraft did his thing, another long catch and another short touchdown. Sam LaPorta finally clicked (6-48-1), even with the Lions not needing to throw much in a thrashing of Tennessee. Mark Andrews is scoring every week now. Even Evan Engram bailed out with a late touchdown. Fantasy’s trickiest position from last month became the easy button in Week 8.

Josh Jacobs jumped to the top of the RB board, rushing for 127 yards and two scores (25.0 fantasy points) at Jacksonville. Kudos to Matt LaFleur, who found a way to get the win even after losing Jordan Love to a groin injury. The Packers have still maintained a credible offense when Malik Willis has been forced into action this year, and that has LaFleur’s fingerprints all over it.

Jacobs, of course, had company. Joe Mixon (21.4 points) had 134 total yards and a gorgeous touchdown run against the Colts. Jonathan Taylor (18.2 points) had a similar line in the same game, 117 total yards and a score. Derrick Henry (14.2 points) was limited to 73 rushing yards but of course, he scored like he always does. James Conner (13.9 points) wouldn’t be denied on a short touchdown run at Miami. It’s glorious when your smartest players are your toughest players, too.

Marvin Harrison Jr. put on a clinic at Miami (6-111-1), with several impressive catches in the high-difficulty matchup. DeVonta Smith got behind the Cincinnati defense for a touchdown, capping a snappy 6-85-1 day. He was the WR6 (17.5 fantasy points) when the early slate ended. Consumer confidence has surely rebounded in both cases.

There was nothing wrong with Barkley at Cincinnati, as he averaged 4.9 yards per carry on his 22 totes. He was physical and athletic. But Jalen Hurts scored three rushing touchdowns, two of them from the one-yard line and Barkley did not score. So long as the Tush Push keeps succeeding, you have to figure the Eagles keep dialing it up. Barkley’s managers see the 11.6 fantasy points and know that score could easily be in the 25-30 point range.

For most receivers, nine catches and a touchdown (15.9 points), that’s a heck of a day. But Chase made just 54 yards on his nine receptions, and that comes out to less than five yards per target.

For weeks I’ve been wondering why the Bengals failed to fully commit to their best offensive weapon, with Chase leading the position in fantasy points despite a target count that was barely in the top 20. But it’s possible Chase’s top form won’t return until Tee Higgins is back — you obviously need someone else to draw coverage from the defense. Only two non-Chase wideouts had a catch for Cincinnati in the loss to Philadelphia; other than Chase, Joe Burrow focused on his tight ends and running backs. It resulted in a mere 280 yards of offense, which simply isn’t good enough — after a sharp opening touchdown drive, the Bengals struggled to move the ball.

Note: I’ll add more Week 8 analysis later in the day.

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