This NFL underdog betting report shows that betting on the dogs can be a pretty profitable play some seasons.
So far this season, betting on NFL underdogs has been one of the best blind wagers on the market. They dogs have been pretty solid against the spread and dominated on the moneyline profit. Check out my complete breakdown of NFL underdog betting trends below:
Straight Up 2024 NFL Underdog Betting Records
| SU Record | SU Win % | SU Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 19-28 | 40.4% | +$975.0 |
We’ve seen massive upsets so far this season that have made underdogs particularly profitable. For example, we saw the Patriots best the Bengals as 8.5-point underdogs in Week 1 and the Vikings bested the 49ers as 5.5-point dogs in Week 2. Those big upsets have made betting on dogs a great play in 2024.
Against The Spread NFL Underdog Trends
| ATS Record | ATS Win % | ATS Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 24-21-2 | 53.3% | +$108.58 |
Best 2023 Underdog NFL Teams To Bet On
| Team | SU Underdog Record | SU Underdog Profits |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 1-0 | +$300.0 |
| Minnesota | 2-0 | +$280.0 |
| Las Vegas | 1-1 | +$250.0 |
| New Orleans | 1-0 | +$240.0 |
| Washington | 1-1 | +$180.0 |
| Pittsburgh | 1-0 | +$170.0 |
| Green Bay | 2-1 | +$155.0 |
| Cleveland | 1-0 | +$145.0 |
| Buffalo | 1-0 | +$125.0 |
| Philadelphia | 1-0 | +$120.0 |
| LA Rams | 1-1 | +$120.0 |
| New England | 1-2 | +$110.0 |
| Atlanta | 1-1 | +$100.0 |
| NY Giants | 1-2 | +$40.0 |
| Denver | 1-2 | +$20.0 |
| Dallas | 1-1 | +$10.0 |
| Carolina | 1-2 | +$10.0 |
| NY Jets | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| LA Chargers | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Miami | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Indianapolis | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Cincinnati | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Baltimore | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Jacksonville | 0-2 | -$200.0 |
| Chicago | 0-2 | -$200.0 |
| Tennessee | 0-2 | -$200.0 |
| Arizona | 0-2 | -$200.0 |
Why You Should Bet On Road Underdogs
Everyone’s always looking for the edge in football betting. One of those edges in recent years has been betting on road underdogs against the spread. Last season was the first time in a while road dogs ATS hasn’t been a profitable bet, but it’s back in the win column in 2024-25.
| Year | ATS Record | Underdog Profits |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-14-1 | +349.7 |
| 2023 | 73-79-4 | -$1,252.76 |
| 2022 | 85-75-3 | +$293.52 |
| 2021 | 85-73-3 | +$395.57 |
| 2020 | 82-66-0 | +$838.71 |
| TOTAL | 329-295-10 | +$784.43 |
Traditionally, NFL home teams are given a 3-point advantage on the spread. For example, if a team was a 2-point favorite at a neutral site, they’d be a 5-point fave at home. Now, most books have whittled that advantage down to 2.5 points. However, there is still a ton of value to be had when betting on road underdogs.
Remember, the public loves to bet the favorite. Thus, sportsbooks handicap their NFL matchups appropriately. However, the price variance hasn’t affected road underdogs so far this season. Home-field advantage is becoming less and less of a factor in NFL games.
If you want to be more selective, here are a few teams that stand out as successful road dogs ATS so far this year:
The Best Road Underdogs Teams
| Team | SU Underdog Record | SU Underdog Profits | ATS Underdog Record | ATS Underdog Profits |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | 1-0 | +$300.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| Las Vegas | 1-1 | +$250.0 | 1-1 | -$4.76 |
| New Orleans | 1-0 | +$240.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| New England | 1-1 | +$210.0 | 1-1 | -$9.09 |
| Atlanta | 1-0 | +$200.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| Washington | 1-1 | +$180.0 | 1-1 | -$13.04 |
| Pittsburgh | 1-0 | +$170.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| Cleveland | 1-0 | +$145.0 | 1-0 | +$95.24 |
| NY Giants | 1-1 | +$140.0 | 1-1 | -$9.09 |
| Buffalo | 1-0 | +$125.0 | 1-0 | +$95.24 |
| Denver | 1-1 | +$120.0 | 2-0 | +$186.15 |
| Philadelphia | 1-0 | +$120.0 | 1-0 | +$95.24 |
| Carolina | 1-1 | +$110.0 | 1-1 | -$4.76 |
| Dallas | 1-0 | +$110.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| Green Bay | 1-1 | +$40.0 | 1-1 | -$13.04 |
| NY Jets | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Tennessee | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Arizona | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 1-0 | +$95.24 |
| Miami | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| LA Rams | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Cincinnati | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 1-0 | +$90.91 |
| Baltimore | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| LA Chargers | 0-1 | -$100.0 | 0-1 | -$100.0 |
| Jacksonville | 0-2 | -$200.0 | 1-1 | -$9.09 |
| Chicago | 0-2 | -$200.0 | 0-1-1 | -$100.0 |