Friday, November 22, 2024

Retail sales jump, but BoC has more to do to rescue economy

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Motor vehicle and parts dealers saw a 2.2% increase in July, while sales at gasoline stations and fuel vendors were down 0.6%.

Core retail sales were led by food and beverage retailers, and general merchandise retailers (both up 0.8%). Building material and garden equipment and supplies dealers saw the largest decrease in sales at -1.4%.

While the gain in overall retail sales have been welcomed, leading Canadian economists have expressed concern about the broader weakness in the economy, with a softening labour market and concern that GDP may fall short.

RBC economists Nathan Janzen and Abbey Xu expect that Friday’s GDP report may show a 0.1% increase in July.

“The increase we expect in July is still historically soft and would leave output tracking another per-capita GDP decline in Q3—marking the eighth out of the last nine quarters,” they wrote in a client note.

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