Saturday, November 16, 2024

The election is over, but bettors are still wagering on these 8 political predictions

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Kamil Krzaczynski/AFP via Getty Images
  • Prediction markets made a splash during 2024 Presidential election.

  • The presidential race is over but Millions of dollars are still being bet on political outcomes.

  • Here’s what people are betting on, from 2028 Presidential nominees to Trump’s cabinet picks.

Billions of dollars were bet on the presidential election outcome via prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket this year.

It was a new phenomenon in election cycles, with Kalshi receiving court approval in early October to launch election-based betting contracts for US citizens.

With the election over, money is now flowing into other bets on the platforms, from everything from Rotten Tomato movie scores to the winner of sporting events like the Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul fight.

But politics is also still a popular topic for betting, with Kalshi and Polymarket seeing wagers on everything from President-elect Donald Trump’s potential cabinet picks to the presidential nominees in 2028.

Here are some political bets to watch on Kalshi and Polymarket now that the presidential election is over.

Gavin Newsom
Gavin NewsomAnadolu

Current odds: Gavin Newsom (16¢), Josh Shapiro (15¢), Gretchen Whitmer (11¢), Pete Buttigieg (9¢), Andy Beshear (8¢)
Betting volume: $145,714

JD Vance speaks at a rally.
JD Vance.Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

Current odds: JD Vance (52¢), Vivek Ramaswamy (8¢), Ron DeSantis (6¢), Donald Trump Jr. (6¢), Marco Rubio (6¢), Donald Trump (2¢)
Betting volume: $110,497

RFK Jr.
Robert F. Kennedy speaks at the Libertarian National Convention in May 2024.Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images

Current odds: Elon Musk (14¢), RFK Jr. (91¢), Vivek Ramaswamy (19¢), Steve Bannon (10¢), Jared Kushner (13¢), Ben Carson (80¢), Ken Paxton (27¢), Betsy DeVos (13¢), Ivanka Trump (5¢)
Betting volume: $2.0 million

Servicemen of Ukraine's 24th Mechanized Brigade at a training field in Donetsk region, Ukraine, on November 6, 2024.
Donald Trump has repeatedly said he would end the war in Ukraine in one day.Oleg Petrasiuk/Ukrainian 24th Mechanised Brigade via AP

Current odds: Yes (47¢), No (54¢)
Betting volume: $2.9 million

Matt Gaetz
Trump announced on Wednesday that he would nominated Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida to serve as United States Attorney General.Tom Williams/CQ Roll Call

Current odds: Yes (30¢), No (72¢)
Betting volume: $509,219

Karoline Leavitt
DOUG MILLS/POOL/AFP via Getty Images

Current odds: Karoline Leavitt (66¢), Scott Jennings (17¢), Tucker Carlson (5¢), Alina Habba (5¢), Kari Lake (5¢), Peter Doocy (4¢)
Betting volume: $313,753

Donald Trump
Johnnie Izquierdo/Getty Images

Current odds: Yes (32¢), No (69¢)
Betting volume: $285,843

A crowd of students hold banners and signs during demonstrations over the war in Gaza
Students hold banners and signs during demonstrations over the war in Gaza at George Washington University in Washington DC.Mostafa Bassim/Anadolu via Getty Images

Current odds: Yes (47¢), No (54¢)
Betting volume: $267,997

Read the original article on Business Insider

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