Friday, October 18, 2024

The Opta supercomputer October update on the title race

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After the October international break, the Opta supercomputer has updated its projected final Premier League table.

It is only seven matches into the campaign so much can still change but the season is beginning to take shape. The supercomputer simulates thousands of seasons and takes the percentage each side finishes in each league position.

As at the start of the campaign, Manchester City remain favourites for the title, but the supercomputer is not as convinced, suggesting the chance of them winning a fifth in a row has fallen from 82.2% to 69.4% of simulations.

Arsenal are still the second favourites and after a strong start have seen their chances improve from 12.2% to 19.6%.

Current leaders Liverpool are currently projected to win their second Premier League title in 10.8% of simulations, which is more than double their pre-season projection of 5.1%.

According to Opta, Chelsea are the only other side to have any chance, but Enzo Maresca’s side won the title in only 140 of the 10,000 simulations!

The Blues are fancied to finish in the top four though, making the Champions League places 37.9% of the time.

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